Is Jay-Z An Economist And The Fall Of The US Dollar

In his latest video, "Blue Magic," off the AmericanTreasury securities (T-Bills, Notes & Bonds). The
Gangster album, rapper and businessman Jay-Z (No.8U.S. government has trillions in debt but still has "good
on The Black Economy's Wealthiest Blacks List) iscredit" with the rest of the world. But after
seen flashing a wad of cash. However, this time it's notaccumulating over $9 trillion in treasury debt, many
the usual $100 Ben Franklins, but euros (the officialforeign investors are starting to become suspect
currency of France, Germany, Italy, among others)?about the Federal Government's spending habits and
Many Jay-Z fans did not quite know what to make ofhave stated they plan not to purchase as many U.S.
this "money switch" and others simply did not noticedollars in the future. For example, China is the largest
him holding EUR500 notes in the video. Why wouldholder of foreign exchange reserves (a country's
Jay-Z prefer having euros over the U.S. dollar whichassets like U.S. dollars and Treasuries) totaling over $1
has been the world's most preferred currency fortrillion of which about $750 billion is in U.S. Treasuries.
decades? Is Jay-Z predicting the American EconomyRecently, China announced that they would "diversify"
is headed for hard times and the U.S. dollar will furthertheir foreign exchange reserves because of the
decline in value? Or is hip-hop's ambassador justdollars declining value. If they started selling their U.S.
continuing to be a trend-setter and his usual financiallydollars, other foreign investors out of fear would also
flamboyant self?start to sell and the dollar could potentially crash
Everything in this world has a price and although it maybecause no one would want to own it. The President
be hard to imagine, a country's money is no exception.of Iran, Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, and Hugo Chavez,
The price of one country's currency in relation toPresident of Venezuela, have stated that the U.S.
another country's is called its exchange rate. Fordollar is "worthless" and have been trying to persuade
example, the current exchange rate for euros to U.S.OPEC (the crude oil cartel of countries) to not accept
dollars is EUR1 is worth $1.44. This rate is mainlydollars for oil anymore.
determined by supply (how much U.S. dollars are inSo how does the falling value of the U.S. dollar directly
circulation) and demand (how much foreigners areaffect you? If you plan on traveling to any of the
willing to trade their country's currency for U.S. dollars).thirteen countries in the Euro Zone (e.g. France,
The key players in the foreign exchange market areGermany, Italy) where euros are used, you will be
banks, governments, multi-national corporations andpaying more for goods and services. For example, in
individual investors/speculators. Trading some $3 trillionParis a Starbucks latte will cost you about 5 euros or
a day, foreign exchange is the largest financial market$7.20 ($1.44*5), whereas in the U.S. it would cost you
in the world. Although stock markets dominate newsroughly $3.00.
headlines, the size of the global stock market is onlyGas prices in America will also go up as the dollar
$51 trillion -- foreign exchange generates that amount indeclines. Why? Because since crude oil (which makes
weeks.up 50% of the cost of gasoline) is priced in U.S. dollars,
One of the main factors that determines the value ofthose rich oil companies in Saudi Arabia and Dubai
a country's currency is the overall health of itswant more dollars to make up for the lost value of the
economy. Although the American economy isdollars they receive from oil sales. Just imagine if you
experiencing billion dollar problems in the housingsold oil for $3000 a barrel and then used that $3000 to
market because of lost bets on sub-prime mortgages,take a yearly vacation to Paris. Well, let's say one year
it will not cause our $13 trillion dollar economy to fall offlater you sold another barrel for $3000 and then found
into a recession -- which means an economy will notout that it's going to cost you $4500 for the same trip
create as many goods and services as it normallyto Paris because the dollar lost its value against Paris'
produces. However, as long as people don't start losingeuro. You too would probably start charging more for
their jobs then American consumer spending, whichyour oil to make up the difference for your vacation
accounts for about 65% of our economy, or roughlytrip.
$8.5 trillion, will continue to keep the economy growingHow can you make money off foreign exchange if
despite higher gas prices and increasing housingyou live in America? You could come up with a
foreclosures.business that sells to the countries in the Euro Zone
Although our economy is fine overall, since 2001 thewhere euros are used and then price your goods or
U.S. dollar has still lost about 40% of its value versusservices in euros and later convert them to U.S. dollars
the Euro and the Canadian Loonie and about 33% ofat the current exchange rate. This means if I sold a
its value versus the UK Pound. The dollar is surprisinglypair of Nike Air Force One shoes to someone in
down 45% against the Albanian Lec.France on Ebay for EUR60, I could then trade those
So what is the reason for the U.S. dollar's steadyeuros for $86.35. Since euros are worth more than
decline in value over the past six years? One reasondollars it makes since to be paid in euros because you
is that interest rates in the U.S. in 2001 through 2004can trade them and receive more dollars. You could
averaged about 2% or lower and banks paid loweralso learn how to be an investor/trader in the foreign
interest on U.S. dollars. According to the Federalexchange market by doing your research and
Reserve, in 2003 an average certificate of depositpracticing first with virtual money on sites like until you
only paid 1.17% in interest. In response to those lowfeel you are good enough to try it with your own
interest rates, foreign investors decided against owningmoney. Err on the side of caution as you never know
American dollars and instead made money by tradingwhen the currency exchange rate may shift for or
for other countries' currencies that paid more inagainst the currency you're trading.
interest. Another reason is the U.S. Government'sFinally, Jay-Z holding that wad of euros was more than
continued budget deficit (or spending more money thenlikely his usual sarcastic way of saying since he owns
they receive from federal taxes).euros then he actually has even more money than the
How can the government do this? They simplyrest of us only having U.S. dollars!
borrow money from Americans and the rest of the"ROC-A-Fella y'all!"
world by selling I.O.U's, or what's officially calledHave a Safe & Prosperous New Year!